On Feb 28, 2025, at 7:58 AM, Chas Freeman via Salon <salon@listserve.com> wrote:
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), President-elect Donald Trump's pick
for Secretary of State, speaks before the Senate Foreign Relations
committee for his confirmation hearing in Washington, on Jan. 15, 2025. |
Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO
President Donald Trump wants to
radically shrink the State Department — leaving it with fewer diplomats,
a smaller number of embassies and a narrower remit that critics argue
could hand China wins across the world. The Trump administration, fueled
by Elon Musk and his acolytes, appears determined to focus the
department on areas such as transactional government agreements,
safeguarding U.S. security and promoting foreign investment in America.
That means cutting back or eliminating bureaus promoting traditional
soft power initiatives — such as those advancing democracy, protecting
human rights, supporting scientific research or generally fostering
goodwill abroad. The changes would amount to a
historic restructuring of the storied department whose work and scope
has expanded over the decades to include a variety of efforts to bolster
American influence abroad, ranging from helping countries defend their
critical networks from hackers to advocating for people with
disabilities.
Some of these ideas have been telegraphed in public orders and statements from Trump and others.
Additional details about the strategy and what will be cut were
described to POLITICO by a person familiar with internal State
Department discussions and a former U.S. official with ties to the Trump
team. POLITICO also reviewed private documents that provide insight
into the plans, which remain fluid. Several people were granted
anonymity to discuss sensitive issues. Supporters
say the shakeup would lead to a more focused but still flexible Foreign
Service that would better serve U.S. interests. “Substantial
changes at the State Department are necessary to cut down on the
bloated federal bureaucracy,” said Sen. James Risch (R-Idaho), chair of
the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, who added in a statement that he
had “personally experienced the challenges of an unresponsive and
dismissive State Department.” But
critics say the reforms could damage the U.S. long term, especially as
it goes head-to-head with an ambitious China. The communist-led country
has in recent years surpassed the United States in its number of diplomatic facilities around the world, expanding its foreign influence as America’s dwindles. The
Trump administration, instead, is “going to dramatically shrink the
ambit of American diplomacy, dramatically shrink the purpose and the
practice of our diplomacy and return it, if not to the 19th century, at
least pre-World War II,” said Tom Shannon, a former senior State
Department official who served under Republican and Democratic
presidents. While
it’s not clear yet how many embassies would be closed, Secretary of
State Marco Rubio is on board with cutting a significant number, the
person familiar with the internal discussions said. The
State Department Executive Secretariat has asked the Defense
Department, the CIA, the Justice Department and the Department of
Homeland Security, among others, to rank U.S. embassies in order of
importance to their work, according to a State Department official who
has seen the request. That official and a second State official said the
Pentagon has tasked combatant commands around the world to report back
with their respective lists.
The
first official said the departments and agencies were to score
embassies on a zero to 10 scale (10 being the most important). A quarter
of the embassies in each region must be given scores between zero and
two; a quarter must score from three to five; and half can receive
scores from six to 10, the person said. The criteria to be considered
include the department or agency’s overall budget devoted to its
presence at the embassy, including for facilities maintenance and the
importance of the embassy in the agency or department’s policy
priorities, the official said. POLITICO
also obtained a list of potential consulates that could be cut. The
targets mentioned are in Rennes, Lyon, Strasbourg, and Bordeaux in
France; Dusseldorf, Leipzig, and Hamburg in Germany; Florence, Italy;
Ponta Delgada, Portugal; and Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Embassy
cuts are more complicated than consulate closures in part because many
embassies house overseas functions of other branches of the U.S.
government, including trade and even agriculture offices. If carried
out, however, the changes could mean more embassies would cover multiple
countries, a set-up that already exists in some places, such as the Caribbean. Representatives
of Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, which has taken the lead
in helping Trump cut the size of the federal workforce, are driving the
planning. Trump also has issued executive orders that signal the shifts
that lay ahead for the State Department — efforts that go well beyond
plans for it to subsume the U.S. Agency for International Development. Many
of the new Trump administration’s foreign policy priorities can be
gleaned from its effort to dismantle USAID. At that agency, DOGE has
slashed programs that promote good governance, democracy, education and
general economic development but is keeping some that deal with health
issues and emergency humanitarian aid, according to emails, spreadsheets
and other documents seen by POLITICO. The Supreme Court is likely to review a legal challenge to the USAID funding cuts. The
USAID cuts suggest the State Department’s bureau that focuses on human
rights and democracy could get scaled down if not axed.
Elon Musk holds a chainsaw as he arrives to speak at
the Conservative Political Action Conference, CPAC, at the Gaylord
National Resort & Convention Center, Feb. 20, 2025, in Oxon Hill,
Maryland.
|
Jose Luis Magana/AP
Trump’s
anti-immigration stances also suggest that the State Department bureau
that focuses on migration and refugees could be scuttled or cut back. If
the trend continues, other State bureaus that could be in danger
include the Educational and Cultural Affairs bureau; the Conflict and
Stabilization Operations bureau; the bureau of Oceans and International
Environmental and Scientific Affairs. The latter could face suspicion
over its climate change-related work, as such programs are not a
priority for Trump.
According
to the person familiar with the internal discussions, the economic
affairs bureau will likely be kept, given Trump’s often transactional
view of the world and interest in promoting foreign investment in the
U.S. The
person also said that the consular affairs division — which carries out
work such as visas, passports and helping Americans stranded overseas —
will remain a critical pillar of the State Department. Still, the
individual said, that section will see some staffing cuts. James
Hewitt, a White House National Security Council spokesperson, justified
changes at State by pointing to America’s broader finances. “Well, we
are $36 trillion in debt,” he said. In
a statement, the State Department press office insisted it was
following presidential directives on “workforce optimization” and
assessing its “global posture to ensure we are best positioned to
address modern challenges on behalf of the American people.” The
State-related proposals remain tentative, especially amid court
challenges to DOGE’s sweeping authority. Some major parts of the State
Department are required by legislation, which could make restructuring
tricky. And details, such as exactly how many embassies to close, could
vary as discussions unfold and logistics make change hard. Whatever
diplomatic outposts and initiatives are left are likely to be staffed
by many fewer people. As POLITICO has previously reported, Rubio is on
board with at least a 20 percent cut to staffing at the State. And
ambassadors overseas have been asked to prepare data on their staff in
anticipation of reductions, multiple U.S. diplomats have already
confirmed to POLITICO. The department has suspended or canceled some Foreign Service testing
to comply with Trump’s broad hiring freeze imposed across the
government, and it’s not clear if or when a new crop of U.S. diplomats
will be onboarded. Roughly
two-thirds of the State Department’s estimated 75,000 employees are
local hires working for U.S. missions overseas. Such foreign nationals
are easier to lay off than U.S. civil and Foreign Service officers, who
have more legal protections, but all the groups will see some cuts, the
person familiar with the talks said. Rubio is expected to soon announce
that several hundred employees deemed to be on probation will lose their
jobs, according to two State Department officials familiar with the
plans. Trump this month issued an executive order calling for “reforms in recruiting, performance, evaluation and retention standards” for the Foreign Service. The changes would include revamping the Foreign Affairs Manual and other bedrocks of U.S. diplomacy. The executive order appeared aimed at creating a more pliable group of State Department employees who are easier to fire. A
former senior State Department official warned that it could stop many
diplomats from offering dissenting views, either in routine analytical
work in embassies or via the official “Dissent Channel,” which sends
such views directly to the secretary of State. Discouraging dissent
could endanger top U.S. officials’ ability to make well-informed
decisions, the former official said.
Staffers and offices that engage
in work related to diversity, equity and inclusion — DEI — are being cut
across the government, including at State. It’s not clear how the
anti-DEI philosophy will affect some special envoy offices at State,
such as ones that advocate for disability rights or women’s issues. That said, special envoy offices
have proliferated in recent years, in part due to congressional
mandates, and are likely to be trimmed back overall. It’s also possible that the
administration may allow some bureaus or offices to continue to exist on
paper but never fill their positions. “Even statutory departments and
functions have significant room for discretionary cuts to staffing and
budgets,” the person familiar with the discussions said. Still, the Trump administration may find that it is harder to staff up if it later decides to restore slashed programs. “They’re taking a lot of steps
now that are going to be pretty hard to reverse engineer,” warned a
former Biden administration official, who was granted anonymity because
they were worried about facing retaliation from the Trump team. Eric Bazail-Eimil contributed to this report.
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